WELCOME TO ISSUE NO #068

📆 Today’s Rundown

Hey {{first_name}} 👋, hope you had a great week! In the last issue, we discussed why tracking Pipeline Coverage Ratio matters, and now we are moving with the next topic from Revenue, ARR and MRR content.

Let’s talk about ⬇️

Revenue Backlog

Most SaaS Founders and Finance Leaders think you need complex, proprietary models to understand your future revenue and long-term financial viability.

But after years of studying SaaS finance and working with high-growth companies, I can tell you nothing is further from the truth.

In reality, you ONLY need these 3 simple concepts/frameworks:

  • 1. The Core Calculation (How to find your true future value)

  • 2. The Key Distinction (Backlog vs. Deferred Revenue)

  • 3. The 3 Best Practices (Ensuring your numbers are useful)

And today, I want to walk you through how each of these concepts works so you can finally accurately forecast your revenue and guide valuation.

Let's dig in:

TL;DR

1️⃣ Revenue Backlog: The Core Calculation

2️⃣ Revenue Backlog vs. Deferred Revenue: The Key Distinction

3️⃣ The 3 Best Practices for Management

1️⃣ Revenue Backlog: The Core Calculation

The goal of this metric is to measure the unrecognized/unbilled revenue from signed contracts.

Context: This is a key forward-looking metric for subscription businesses, providing a signal of future momentum (unlike lagging indicators like recognized Revenue or ARR).

Why it's important: It shows investors and internal teams the full value of the contracts you have already won, indicating long-term financial viability and growth potential.

The Key Benefit: It helps you move beyond just "Bookings" and provides a clearer, un-timed value of customer agreements.

Practical Tip: Don't get stuck doing this manually! The core formula is:

Total Revenue Backlog = Total Contract Value - Revenue Recognized

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I'm Aleksandar, fractional CFO at Fiscallion, where we help founders like you achieve financial clarity, streamline reporting, and build investor-ready forecasts.

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2️⃣ Revenue Backlog vs. Deferred Revenue: The Key Distinction

The goal of this distinction is to avoid mixing up liability with future opportunity.

Context: Both are related to future revenue, but they live in different places on the financial statement and signal different things.

Metric

Payment Status

Recognition

Role in Financials

Backlog

Not yet billed or received

Recognized when service is delivered

Forward-looking, not on balance sheet

Deferred

Received or invoiced, but not yet earned

Liability, recognized gradually as service is delivered

Liability on balance sheet

Why it's important: Mixing them up leads to wildly inaccurate financial reporting and forecasting. Deferred Revenue is money you owe (a liability). Revenue Backlog is money you expect to receive (a forward indicator).

The Key Benefit: Understanding this difference gives you a more nuanced, accurate view of your business's current state and its future trajectory.

3️⃣ The 3 Best Practices for Management

Alright, we're almost done here. But before we wrap things up, there are 3 must-do steps we need to talk about:

The goal of this set of practices is to ensure your Revenue Backlog metric is consistent, accurate, and actionable.

Best Practice #1: Stick to the Same Calculation Method

  • Why it's important: Consistency is key to accurate trend analysis (is revenue growing or shrinking?) and building trust with investors.

  • Practical Tip: Define your formula clearly and use a strategic finance platform to avoid manual errors as you grow.

Best Practice #2: Regularly Monitor and Update

  • Why it's important: You need to stay up-to-date with new contracts, renewals, and changes. Outdated projected revenue leads to poor cash flow forecasts and bad business decisions.

Best Practice #3: Look at Granular Details

  • Why it's important: A high backlog can mean great growth potential, OR it could signal an inability to fulfill orders. A deep dive by customer, contract length, or service type helps you spot both opportunities and potential risks.

And that's it!

Mastering Revenue Backlog moves you from looking backward at recognized revenue to looking forward at your true growth potential.

Hope you find these frameworks helpful. And if you have any other SaaS finance-related questions, please don't hesitate to hit reply & let me know. I'm here to help :)

Chat soon,

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Aleksandar Stojanovic
Chief Finance Ninja | Fiscallion
Fractional CFO & FP&A Boutique Consultancy

P.S. Whenever you’re ready, here’s how I can help:

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